Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

THE IMPENDING DEATH OF WESTERN EUROPE
Freeman Center ^ | January 2004 | Arnold Evan Reingold

Posted on 01/11/2004 7:37:51 PM PST by rmlew

By Arnold E. Reingold

All civilizations are worthy of study and respect and are, therefore, in historian Arnold Toynbee’s phrase "philosophically equal". Nevertheless, it is Western society which has produced by far the greatest moral and physical freedom as well as economic rewards for its multitudes of people. That society, indebted to its Greek and Hebrew sources, has extended its influence and a measure of control throughout the entire world. However, based on current trends in population, the European homeland of our society will cease to exist in its present Western form within the lifetimes of our children.

Why is this happening, and how does it matter?

The average non-Muslim woman in Western Europe today, gives birth to about 1.4 children. This is one-third less than the 2.1 births required to maintain a constant level of population. In France for instance, if the current trend continues, the number of non-Muslim school children will drop by one third in one generation, and by 55% in two generations. This long-term population decline is obscured by longer life expectancies, and the much higher birthrate of the Muslim population. The U.S. Census Bureau projects that by the year 2050 the population of France and the Netherlands, notwithstanding the Muslim increase, will decline by 19%. The projected decreases are 26% for Belgium and Spain, 31% for Germany, and 34% for Italy. (The population of the United States is expected to INCREASE by 56% to almost 440 million during that time.)

An estimated five to six million of the sixty million people in France were Muslim in the year 2000. This estimate is probably low due to unrecorded immigrants, but let us assume we are within a 10% range. We can obtain a reasonable estimate of their birthrate by using the experience of their primary home countries which are Algeria and Morocco. That rate is 4.2 children per woman. Due to the superior level of health care in Europe, the survival rate of these children will be high. Even if no more Muslims were to arrive, the Islamic population of France will double in one generation, and quadruple in two. Bearing in mind that these immigrants tend to have children at a younger age than their European counterparts, those generations will reach maturity in a relatively short time. If the current birth rates persist, even without additional in-migration, by 2050, half of the school-age children in France will be Muslim.

There were 250 million Muslims in the world in 1950. Today, there are 1.25 billion, and in twenty five years the projection is 2.5 billion. Based on current economic realities, the probable inability of the Arab countries which do not produce oil to provide a decent life for their citizens will cause a continued influx to Europe. As the Muslim religious, cultural and political influence grows, life for native Europeans will become increasingly stressed and economically less productive. The natural consequence of the process will be an increasing out-migration, not only of people, but of cultural and religious institutions.

Visualize, for instance, the Vatican relocating to Mexico City, Buenos Aires or perhaps even Manila. After all, last year more new Catholic babies were christened in the Phillippines than in Western Europe. The base of fundamentalist Anglicanism is not now in the U.S. and certainly not in England, but in Uganda and Nigeria.

Already the balance of political power is changing. Witness the French government’s frantic attempts to save Saddam Hussein and his Baath (read National Socialist) party. We have heard about commercial contracts and loans, oil and arms sales, allegations of bribes at the highest level of government, and a desire to weaken the influence of the U.S. But overshadowing these obvious influences, the pressure of a growing, young, energetic, vocal and sometimes physically threatening Muslim political movement is clearly evident.

The situation in Belgium and the Netherlands is not greatly different than the French, although the Muslims in Holland have come primarily from Indonesia rather than from North Africa. Unfortunately we have recently witnessed the growth of a radical Islamic movement in Indonesia, including the bombings in Bali. Mid-eastern mullahs and others are providing ongoing anti-western propaganda and "religious instruction" across Western Europe. One of the natural results has been an increase in virulent anti-Semitic outbursts, both in the classic European sense, and in the newer mode of denying the legitimacy and right to existence of the State of Israel.

Why would it be significant to Americans if the Europe with which we are so familiar is replaced by a series of Islamic states? After all, the mountains and beaches (if not the churches and the museums) will remain. The social, economic and political consequences will be a catastrophic change in the world balance of power. Western Europe has been marvelously successful at the cultural assimilation of people from Eastern and Southern Europe, and to a large degree from Africa and Asia. However the current wave of immigrants is different. Many Muslims want to reproduce the social, if not the economic, conditions of their homelands. We are all aware of the repression of women and minorities, and the extreme social backwardness that are now being imported into the West. Too many of the newcomers oppose what we represent, hate our culture, and are prepared to blow up people and buildings and airplanes to change the way we live.

Militarist Islam is growing more powerful in its home countries. Witness the recent elections in the nominally pro-western countries of Turkey and Kuwait, and in Algeria. Meanwhile, the Iraqis destroy their power plants and blame the U.S. for the lack of electricity.

The loss of Europe would represent an immense victory for the forces arrayed against freedom. It is very, very late, Europe is dying quickly, and the apparent solutions are Draconian, brutal and, sadly, anti-democratic. They include the following:

Financially and otherwise encourage more European babies. Scotland is considering $10,000 bonuses and subsidized child care.

Fill needed jobs by increasing immigration from Eastern Europe (Poland, Russia, Bulgaria, etc.), and from non-Muslim Asia, and Latin America. Spain is now encouraging the arrival of new citizens from the many unemployed Argentines and Mexicans. Romanians are replacing Arab workers in Israel.

Require Muslim children to attend secular schools that teach Western values. The Netherlands is attempting to do this.

Stop further Muslim in-migration. Send back non-citizens and their children, and revoke citizenship for law breakers. Provide financial rewards for people willing to return.

The survival in Western Europe of the peoples and civilization that have created the modern world, with its levels of health, freedom and essential decency, is at risk. How we as inhabitants of Dar al Harb (the world of war) describe the doctrines of Islam is not relevant. How the preachers of Dar al Islam interpret them is the crucial point. Under the Koran, it is the duty of every believer constantly to strive to expand the borders of Dar al Islam, and every peace treaty with unbelievers can only be a "Hutna", a tactical truce. The fundamentalist view is that any part of the world that has ever been part of Islam must be so again. This would include Spain, Portugal, Southern Italy, Sicily, all the Balkan countries, most of southern Russia and Ukraine, Armenia and Georgia, northern India and western China.

And tomorrow the world?

----------------
Permission given to re-produce, disseminate, re-post with accreditation. Please send a copy to
HSR1932@sbcglobal.net


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Germany; Russia; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: christendom; civilization; clashofcivilizations; newnwo; thewest; western
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-63 next last
There is a clash of civilizations. Foreign military victories are important, but irellevent if we are overwhelmed at home.
As Americans, most of us do not live in Europe. Many of us have never stepped foot on the continent. However, can any of us doubt where our heritage lies? Our language, culture, and political history are based closely on our European counterparts.
By grace of history and Providence, we are the hegemons of Western Civilization. It is our duty to protect our elder states, even if their elites seek to go quietly into the night.
1 posted on 01/11/2004 7:37:54 PM PST by rmlew
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: All
Rank Location Receipts Donors/Avg Freepers/Avg Monthlies
33 Canada 255.00
6
42.50
179
1.42
20.00
1

Thanks for donating to Free Republic!

Move your locale up the leaderboard!

2 posted on 01/11/2004 7:39:13 PM PST by Support Free Republic (If Woody had gone straight to the police, this would never have happened!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
Good post!
3 posted on 01/11/2004 7:39:25 PM PST by neutrino (Oderint dum metuant: Let them hate us, so long as they fear us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
bump for later.
4 posted on 01/11/2004 7:44:12 PM PST by Semaphore Heathcliffe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
the question is, will Europe listen? ... indeed many of my ancestors came from there too, but they may not be opening their eyes to this problem ... and we have unsealed borders here in the USA to boot ...
5 posted on 01/11/2004 7:45:59 PM PST by Bobby777
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
And tomorrow the US?


6 posted on 01/11/2004 7:47:54 PM PST by Zipporah (Write inTancredo in 2004)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
There you have it. Did Ralph Nader and the public school system teach you to have no more than two children. Did your liberal church fail to mention "go forth and multiply." Did you support abortion on demand and homosexual orientation. Well, some people used the last 50 years of prosperity and medical advancement to make love to their spouses, and to raise beautiful families.
7 posted on 01/11/2004 7:51:21 PM PST by reed_inthe_wind (That Hillary really knows how to internationalize my MOJO.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
Only Europe can solve this problem. And as the statistics in this article indicate, they cannot solve it be stopping further immigration. They can only solve it, I'm sorry to say, by shipping Arab and African Muslims back where they came from. And the likelihood that they will do that while they still can is virtually zero.
8 posted on 01/11/2004 7:51:43 PM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Zipporah
Someone in the White House should read that article to Bush (leaving out the big words).
9 posted on 01/11/2004 7:54:03 PM PST by dagnabbit (Tell Bush what to do with his Amnesty & Global Labor Pool - Write in Tancredo in the Primary)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
Oswald Spengler wrote "The Decline of the West" in 1918 and 1922 (two volumes).

He was more or less correct with his timing, since the destruction of the Hapsburg, Romanov and Hohenzollern Empires during WW I really marks the end of Western Civilization.

This article is about 80 years late.
10 posted on 01/11/2004 7:54:18 PM PST by Lessismore
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Cacique; Clemenza; Oschisms; Kashei64; Paleo Conservative; Burkeman1
ping
11 posted on 01/11/2004 8:00:39 PM PST by rmlew (Peaceniks and isolationists are objectively pro-Terrorist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
The reason non-Muslim women's birthrates are so low, can be tied to abortion and in France the abortion pill. Militant Muslim is a violent religion, but it does not allow for violence against its own helpless sons and daughters who wait peacefully in the womb to be born. The culture of death predominates our world in oh so many ways.
12 posted on 01/11/2004 8:02:33 PM PST by Biblebelter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Bobby777
We cannot force European nations to protect themselves.
We can only sercure our nation, rally our allies, and defeat the Islamists and their allies abroad. Perhaps doing so will shame "Old Europe" into action. At the very least, we will have bought them time.
13 posted on 01/11/2004 8:03:17 PM PST by rmlew (Peaceniks and isolationists are objectively pro-Terrorist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
It's interesting that Greeks being such western civilization, weren't even considered 'white' up until a couple of decades ago and honestly Greeks share alot more with Persian culture than they do with our culture in America.

In fact, Iranian dancing, food, music is pretty much a copy of Greeks. I often have a very difficult time telling the difference in Greeks and Iranians (the pre-1979 ones and newer generation of course).

I've been to Greek festivals and it's very difficult separating it from Persian festivals in California.

So when we speak of Eastern v. Western are we strictly speaking of certain countries based on religion, or is there more to it?

14 posted on 01/11/2004 8:05:49 PM PST by freedom44
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: reed_inthe_wind
1. I am a 26 year old Jew.
My parents generation failed miserably at having children. My parternal grandparents had 5 children, but my sister and myself are their only grandchildren. My mother has only one brother, and he has only a surviving daughter.
I would like to have 3 to 4 children, but I need a wife and a better economic outlook first.

2. The leftist attack on the family has borne fruit.

15 posted on 01/11/2004 8:07:31 PM PST by rmlew (Peaceniks and isolationists are objectively pro-Terrorist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Cicero
They can also solve it by getting busy buggering each other.
16 posted on 01/11/2004 8:10:45 PM PST by squidly (Although prepared for martyrdom, I prefer that it be postponed.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: reed_inthe_wind
Did Ralph Nader and the public school system teach you to have no more than two children?

Once I got an inkling of demographics, how civilizations rise and fall, I became aware of just how utterly idiotic liberal mores are. In recent years, I have witnessed WASPs and Jews tut-tutting someone having more than two children and looking askance at a woman who chose to stay home and raise children rather than have a career. These are commonplaces. Dunces.

In the same blockhead category is the "virtue" that religious expression should be private. The USA continues to shoot itself in the foot with things like outlawing school prayer. Rituals in the school and elsewhere are simply how we pass our ways of life through the generations. So we deliberately outlaw one of the basic cultivations of civilization. Dunces.

17 posted on 01/11/2004 8:11:20 PM PST by NutCrackerBoy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: dagnabbit
Someone in the White House should read that article to Bush (leaving out the big words).

Like "misunderestimation"?

18 posted on 01/11/2004 8:13:57 PM PST by okie01 (www.ArmorforCongress.com...because Congress isn't for the morally halt and the mentally lame.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: rmlew
Basically, I think it's too late for europe. I don't know if they'll ever be able to recover. A lot of this is due to the laws on abortion. Hate to say it, but that's the truth. Women wanted freedom of choice, soon the only choice they will have is to wear a burka.
19 posted on 01/11/2004 8:16:20 PM PST by McGavin999 (Don't be a Freeploader-Have you donated yet?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dagnabbit
~ROFL!!!
20 posted on 01/11/2004 8:18:27 PM PST by Zipporah (Write inTancredo in 2004)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-63 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson